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Commissioner Andrius Kubilius Proposes Ambitious EU Defence Delivery Framework with 4.2 Trillion Euro Budget Until 2035

Foreign Policy, Security & Development Cooperation · Defence · Speech · 2025-09-23

Setting the Stage: From Policy to Delivery
In his keynote at Euractiv's Defence Pro Firepower launch, Commissioner Andrius Kubilius outlined a strategic shift in Europe's defence approach—from creating opportunities to delivering tangible results. He spotlighted a robust plan featuring a 4.2 trillion euro investment earmarked for defence from 2027 to 2035, exemplifying a major push to enhance European defence capabilities.

Concrete Policy Proposals and Implementation
Kubilius detailed key policy mechanisms already established, such as the SAFE framework, national escape clauses, and unused cohesion funds now redirected toward defence. Pending initiatives like the European Defence Investment Programme (EDIP) and legal simplifications promise to streamline funding. He emphasized mandatory capability development plans with clear targets and timelines, coupled with Defence Semesters to monitor progress—signaling an assertive move for stronger EU oversight and integration in defence matters.

Defence Priorities and Industrial Strategy
The Commissioner highlighted three pivotal project groups: NATO capability targets including tanks and artillery; strategic enablers like space and air refueling; and flagship EU projects such as the Eastern Shield's Drone Wall and the European Dome missile defence. Measures to bolster the EU defence industry involve industrial mapping, capacity expansion, joint development incentives, and Europeanization efforts to reduce fragmentation and increase procurement efficiency.

Implications for Stakeholders
The proposal increases EU-level powers in defence industrial policy and capability delivery, potentially shifting some sovereignty from Member States toward EU institutions like the European Defence Agency and the Commission. For defence industries, these plans offer expanded production and innovation opportunities but also signal higher compliance and coordination demands. National authorities face stronger oversight and execution responsibilities through obligatory capability plans. Meanwhile, EU taxpayers might anticipate substantial financial commitments given the scale and timeline of funding. Support for Ukraine features prominently, balancing material aid with integration ambitions—a dual dynamic affecting geopolitical alignments and industrial collaboration.

In sum, Kubilius's speech signals a leap toward deeper EU defence integration, greater institutional control, and a multi-billion euro industrial and operational push designed to transform Europe's military readiness by 2030 and beyond.

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